00743nam a2200097Ia 4500080001100000100001900011245006000030260000900090520052500099583002100624  aSerial  aSharma, Ruchir  aThe Ever-emerging markets : why economic forecasts fail  c2014  aArgues that although single-factor theories are appealing, they ignore the rapid shifts of global competition and so provide no persuasive scenario on which to base planning for the next five to ten years. Calls instead for the forecaster to track a shifting list of a dozen factors, from politics to credit and investment flows, to assess the growth prospects of each emerging nation. Notes that it aims to produce a practical guide for following the rise and fall of nations in real time and in the foreseeable future.  c1/21/14kSANDRAW