Sosa, Sebastián creator text Washington]US IMF 2009 monographic 27 p. Develops country-specific VAR models with block exogeneity restrictions to analyze how exogenous factors affect business cycles in the Eastern Caribbean. Finds that external shocks play a key role, explaining more than half of macroeconomic fluctuations in the region. 8/17/09 JOYD 03.02.04 S7153 20260716043945.0